Deidre Pfeifer

Real Estate Agent, California

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – February 24, 2014

by 353 Comments

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week February 24, 2014Last week’s economic data supported recent reports indicating that housing markets are slowing, The National Association of Home builders/Wells Fargo Home Builders Index (HBI) dropped by 10 points to a reading of 46 for February.

Home builder confidence dropped to its lowest reading in nine months,  and fell below the benchmark of 50, which indicates that more builders are pessimistic about current market conditions than not.

Severe weather was blamed for the lower builder confidence reading, which fell below the expected reading of 56.

Regional readings of builder confidence were also lower:

  • Northeast: Builder confidence fell from 41 to 33 points. This suggests that weather is a major concern as this area has experienced a series of nasty winter storms.
  • South: The HBI reading fell from 50 in January to 46 in February and was the smallest decline among the four regions. Fewer index points lost in the South appears to support builder’s concerns about bad weather in other regions.
  • Midwest: Builder confidence dropped from 59 points to a reading of 50.
  • West: Builder confidence fell by 14 points to February’s reading of 57. Desirable areas in the West had been leading the nation in home price appreciation. February’s reading may signal an easing of buyer enthusiasm as rapidly rising home prices have reduced affordable options for first-time and moderate income buyers.

Builders also cited concerns over labor and supplies as reasons for lower confidence readings.

Housing Starts Lower, Mortgage Rates Higher

On Wednesday, Housing Starts for January were released. Although analysts predicted a figure of 945,000 housing starts as compared to an upwardly adjusted 1.05 million housing starts in December, only 880,000 housing starts were reported for January.

The Department of Commerce also cited extreme winter weather as a cause for the drop in housing starts, which reached their fastest pace since 2008 in November. There is some good news. Economists said that housing starts delayed during winter could begin during spring.

According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, average mortgage rates rose across the board. The rate for a 30-year fixed rate loan rose by 5 basis points to 4.33 percent. The average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose by two basis points to 3.35 percent.

The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage moved up by three basis points to an average rate of 3.08 percent. Discount points for all three products were unchanged with readings of 0.70 for 30-year and 15-year fixed rate mortgages and 0.50 percent discount points for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that weekly jobless claims came in at 336,000 against expectations of 335,000 new jobless claims. The prior week’s reading was for 339,000 new jobless claims. Analysts said that job growth may be slowing after last year’s growth, but also noted that winter weather had slowed hiring in labor sectors such as construction and manufacturing.

Existing home sales fell by 5.10 percent in January according to the National Association of REALTORS®, which reported a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of home sales at 4.62 million sales against expectations of 4.65 million and December’s reading of 4.87 million sales of pre-owned homes. The national average home price rose to $188,900, which was 10.70 percent higher year-over-year.

January’s inventory of available existing homes was 1.9 million homes; this represented a 4.90 month supply of existing homes for sale. Real estate pros prefer to see at least a six month inventory of available homes for sale.

What’s Ahead

Next week brings a series of economic reports and opportunities for good news. The Case Shiller Home Price Indices, FHFA Home Price Index will be released. Consumer Confidence and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment report along with New and Pending Home Sales reports round out next week’s scheduled news.

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    # Harvard University: A Legacy of Excellence and Innovation

    ## A Brief History of Harvard University

    Founded in 1636, **Harvard University** is the oldest and
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    Located in Cambridge, Massachusetts, Harvard has built a global reputation for academic
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    – **12 degree-granting schools**, including the renowned **Harvard Business School**, **Harvard Law
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    – **A faculty of world-class scholars**, many of whom are Nobel laureates, Pulitzer Prize winners, and pioneers in their fields.

    – **Cutting-edge research**, with Harvard leading initiatives in artificial intelligence, public health, climate change, and more.

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    – **Malala Yousafzai** – Nobel Prize-winning activist

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    – State-of-the-art research centers, museums, and performing arts venues.

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    – **Annual Primal Scream:** A unique tradition where students de-stress by running through Harvard Yard before finals!

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    Сварка стали вольфрамовыми электродами – выбор тока
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    Мониторинг теплового влияния на детали обеспечивает высокое качество соединения. Важно осуществлять контроль и корректировку на протяжении всего процесса, чтобы избежать неправильного распределения тепла и получить однородное соединение.
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    Для достижения качественного соединения разных марок металлов, важно учитывать их химический состав и толщину. Например, для углеродных соединений, таких как St37, рекомендуем установить параметры в пределах 90-140 А. При работе с легированными марками, например, 08Х18Н10Т, оптимальный диапазон будет составлять 100-160 А.
    Нержавеющие варианты, такие как 12Х18Н10Т, требуют меньших значений – 80-120 А для предотвращения перегрева и получения качественного шва. А для жаропрочных сплавов, как 40Х13, стоит выбрать режим от 110 до 150 А.
    Точность и стабильность тока зависят также от диаметра используемого прутка: для более тонких применений лучше использовать меньшие значения, а для толстых – увеличивать параметры. Они могут достигать 200 А для массивных конструкций.
    Опытные мастера советуют также производить тестовые швы для уточнения настроек. Это поможет выявить оптимальный баланс, обеспечивающий прочность и долговечность соединений. Не забывайте о влиянии скорости перемещения и угле наклона при работе, что также играет значимую роль в результате.
    Влияние переменного и постоянного тока на качество сварного шва
    Для достижения высококачественного соединения, предпочтительнее применять постоянный источник питания, так как он обеспечивает стабильность дуги и лучшее проникновение в соединяемые части. В процессе работы с данным типом электрического тока контролируется уровень нагрева, что уменьшает риск перегрева и искажений на поверхности. Это критически важно для тонкостенных изделий.
    Напротив, переменный ток может привести к образованию ржавчины и дефектов на шве. Однако его использование оправдано в определённых случаях, например, при сварке неаллюминиевых материалов, где выбранный режим позволяет добиться хорошего качества. При таких условиях может быть полезен переход к более высоким значениям ампер. Это может улучшить равномерность проплавления, хотя и потребует пристального контроля над процессом.
    Для получения идеального результата следует учитывать толщину обрабатываемых конструкций. В случае толстых заготовок рекомендуется использование постоянного тока, так как он способствует созданию мощного теплового потока, необходимого для глубокого проникновения. В то же время, для мелких деталей возможен подход с переменным током, но с учётом правильной настройки оборудования.
    Сравнение двух типов тока показывает, что постоянный ток превосходит по стабильности и качеству, тогда как переменный может быть полезен в специфических ситуациях. Используйте соответствующий режим в зависимости от условий работы и типа соединяемых элементов для достижения наилучших результатов.

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