Deidre Pfeifer

Real Estate Agent, California

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 23, 2023

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This week featured the usual retail sales report which shows consumer demand and as well as an indicator of the velocity of money, not only for consumers but business to business as well. An increase would show an increase in national and local increase in economic activity, which is important as we move into Q4 of the year; where the holiday season is expected to see an increase in consumer activity.

Retail Sales
Retail sales have exceeded expectations this month showing month-to-month increases across the board:

  • Retail sales are up 0.7% from the previous month with an expected increase of 0.3%.
  • Retail sales with auto removed show an increase of 0.6% compared to an expected 0.2% increase.
  • Business inventories are also above the expected increase at 0.4% compared to 0.3%.

Housing Starts & Building Permits
U.S. Housing Starts rebound in September in September after a sharp drop in the prior month. Largely, economists are feeling that builders have been losing confidence since rates have peaked over 7% and housing is expected to trend lower until the end of the year.

  • Construction of new U.S. homes rebounded 7% in September to an annual pace of 1.36 million units after a sharp 1.5% drop in the prior month, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.
  • Building permits, a sign of future construction, fell 4.4% to a 1.47 million rate.
  • Existing home sales beat expected sales with 3.98 million sales compared to the expected 3.90 million sales.

Key point: The pace of construction for single-family homes in September has risen by 3.2% and apartment building construction rose by 17.1%

Mortgage Applications Increased for the Month of October
MBA Mortgage Applications Increase, a measure of mortgage loan application volume again.
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.03% with the rates now at 92%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week increase by 0.06% with the current rate at 63%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates increased week to week seeing a 0.28% basis point increase. Current rates at 40%
  • 30-Yr VA rates increased week to week seeing a 0.30% basis point increase. Current rates at 44%

Job Claims
Those who applied for unemployment benefits last week fell to a nine-month low of 188,000, subverting expectations that layoffs would rise as the U.S. interest rates continued to increase.

Initial Claims were 188,000 compared to the expected claims of 211,000. The prior month was 211,000.

What’s Ahead
This week’s scheduled economic reports include PMI data, along with new home sales. There will also be a national GDP data release which can give an indication of the growth of markets and economy as a whole. Lastly, Personal Income and Spending will be at the tail of the week along with PCE Index numbers.

Three Reasons Why You Might Consider a Reverse Mortgage When Nearing Retirement

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As retirement approaches, many individuals find themselves faced with financial challenges and uncertainties. One option that is often overlooked but can be incredibly beneficial is the reverse mortgage. A reverse mortgage is a financial tool that allows homeowners aged 62 and older to convert a portion of their home equity into tax-free funds.

Here are three compelling reasons why you might consider a reverse mortgage when nearing retirement:

Supplement Your Retirement Income:
One of the most common concerns for retirees is whether they will have enough income to maintain their desired lifestyle throughout their golden years. Social Security and retirement savings may not always be sufficient to cover all expenses, and this is where a reverse mortgage can come to the rescue.

With a reverse mortgage, you receive monthly payments, a lump sum, or a line of credit based on the equity in your home. The funds you receive are not considered taxable income, and they can be used to supplement your retirement income, pay off existing mortgage debt, or cover unexpected medical expenses.

Eliminate Monthly Mortgage Payments:
A significant advantage of a reverse mortgage is that it allows you to eliminate monthly mortgage payments. By converting your home equity into a reverse mortgage, you can live in your home without the burden of monthly payments. This can free up a substantial portion of your income for other expenses, improving your financial security and reducing your financial stress.

Maintain Ownership of Your Home:
Some people worry that a reverse mortgage will require them to give up ownership of their home. However, this is not the case. With a reverse mortgage, you retain ownership of your home as long as you continue to live in it and maintain it. The loan is repaid when you or your heirs sell the property or when you no longer live in the home.

It’s important to note that a reverse mortgage is not suitable for everyone, and there are eligibility requirements and responsibilities associated with it. Before considering a reverse mortgage, it’s advisable to consult with a financial advisor or mortgage specialist to understand the terms, implications, and potential risks involved.

A reverse mortgage can be a valuable tool for retirees facing financial challenges or seeking to enhance their retirement lifestyle. When nearing retirement, it’s essential to explore all your financial options to make informed decisions that best align with your specific needs and goals. A reverse mortgage may be the right choice for you to enjoy a more comfortable and financially secure retirement.

Understanding Why You Don’t Need to Pay Off Your Mortgage Early

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In the world of personal finance and homeownership, there’s a common debate: should you pay off your mortgage early, or is it better to take a more relaxed approach to your home loan? While the idea of being mortgage-free is undoubtedly appealing, there are compelling reasons why you might not need to rush to pay off your mortgage ahead of schedule.

Tax Benefits: Mortgage interest payments is a tax deduction that can help reduce your taxable income, potentially lowering your overall tax bill. Before you rush to pay off your mortgage, consult with a tax professional to determine how this deduction can work to your advantage.

Liquidity and Financial Flexibility: Tying up your funds in your home’s equity by paying off your mortgage early can lead to a lack of liquidity. Having money readily available for emergencies, opportunities, or other investments can provide financial security and flexibility. It’s important to strike a balance between building home equity and maintaining accessible funds.

Opportunity Cost: Every dollar you use to pay down your mortgage early is a dollar you can’t use for other purposes. This is what economists call the “opportunity cost.” While paying off your mortgage early may bring peace of mind, consider the potential opportunities you might be passing up, such as starting a new business, furthering your education, or investing in other assets.

Investment Diversification: By focusing solely on paying off your mortgage, you may miss out on diversifying your investments. A well-balanced investment portfolio can help you weather financial market fluctuations and build wealth more effectively over time.

Inflation Hedge: Over the years, inflation erodes the real value of your mortgage debt. As the cost of living increases, the amount you owe remains fixed. This means that your mortgage becomes less burdensome in real terms as time goes on, making early payment less attractive from a financial perspective.

Retirement Savings: Prioritizing retirement savings is often a wiser financial move than paying off your mortgage early. Saving for retirement allows your money to grow over the long term, and many retirement accounts offer tax advantages.

Your mortgage is just one piece of your overall financial puzzle, and there are often more advantageous ways to allocate your funds, considering low interest rates, tax benefits, and the potential for higher investment returns. Weigh the benefits of being mortgage-free against the advantages of investing and maintaining financial flexibility.

How Do Mortgage Lenders Decide How Much You Can Borrow?

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When it comes to buying a home, one of the most critical factors to consider is how much you can borrow through a mortgage. Mortgage lenders play a pivotal role in determining your borrowing capacity. We will delve into the intricacies of how mortgage lenders decide how much you can borrow.

Your Income and Debt
One of the primary factors that mortgage lenders consider is your income. They want to ensure that you have a steady source of income to make monthly mortgage payments. Generally, lenders prefer that your housing expenses do not exceed 28% of your gross monthly income.

In addition to your income, lenders will also look at your existing debts. This includes credit card debt, student loans, car loans, and any other outstanding obligations. A lower DTI usually results in a higher borrowing capacity.

Credit Score
Your credit score is another critical element in the lending decision. Lenders use your credit score to assess your creditworthiness. Typically, the higher your credit score, the more you can borrow and the lower your interest rate will be.

Down Payment
The size of your down payment plays a significant role in determining your borrowing capacity. A larger down payment not only reduces the principal amount you need to borrow but also shows your commitment to the purchase.

Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV)
The Loan-to-Value ratio is the percentage of the home’s appraised value that the lender is willing to finance. A lower LTV ratio indicates a lower risk for the lender, which may result in a larger loan amount.

Interest Rates
The prevailing interest rates in the mortgage market can also impact your borrowing capacity. When rates are low, you may be able to borrow more for the same monthly payment. Conversely, when rates are high, the amount you can borrow may decrease.

Loan Term
The term of your mortgage can influence how much you can borrow. A 15-year mortgage will require higher monthly payments but can result in a larger loan amount compared to a 30-year mortgage.

Mortgage lenders use a complex set of criteria to determine how much you can borrow. Your income, credit score, down payment, debt-to-income ratio, loan-to-value ratio, interest rates, loan term, and financial reserves all come into play. Remember, every lender has slightly different criteria, so it’s essential to shop around and compare offers from various financial institutions to find the best mortgage deal that suits your financial situation and goals.

3 Important Tips When Making a Down Payment for a Home

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When it comes to purchasing a home, one of the most significant financial decisions you’ll make is how much to put down as a down payment. Your down payment not only affects the amount you need to borrow but also plays a vital role in determining your mortgage interest rate and overall financial stability. Here are three crucial tips to keep in mind when making a down payment for a home:

Determine Your Budget and Financial Goals:
Before you start setting aside money for a down payment, you must understand your budget and financial goals. Assess your current financial situation, including your income, expenses, and existing debt. Consider factors such as your credit score, job stability, and long-term financial objectives.

Make sure your down payment doesn’t deplete your savings entirely, leaving you vulnerable to unexpected expenses or emergencies. Typically, a down payment of 20% is recommended, as it can help you avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI) and secure a more favorable mortgage rate. However, if you can’t afford a 20% down payment, don’t worry – there are other options available, such as FHA loans or VA loans, which require smaller down payments.

Research Mortgage Options:
When deciding on a down payment amount, it’s crucial to explore the various mortgage options available. Different types of mortgages have different down payment requirements. Here are a few examples:

  • Conventional Mortgage
  • FHA Loan
  • Non-QM Loan
  • VA Loan
  • USDA Loan

Research these options and discuss them with a mortgage professional to find the best fit for your financial situation and homeownership goals.

Plan for Closing Costs:
When budgeting for your down payment, don’t forget about closing costs. These are the additional expenses associated with finalizing the purchase of your home, such as appraisal fees, title insurance, and legal fees. On average, closing costs can range from 2% to 5% of the home’s purchase price.

To avoid any last-minute financial stress, it’s wise to save some extra money specifically for closing costs. You can also negotiate with the seller to cover a portion of these costs as part of your purchase agreement.

Making a down payment for a home is a significant financial decision that requires careful consideration and planning. By determining your budget, researching mortgage options, and accounting for closing costs, you can navigate the homebuying process with confidence and secure the home of your dreams while maintaining your financial stability. Remember, homeownership is a long-term commitment, and making an informed down payment is a critical step in building a secure and comfortable future for you and your family.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 16, 2023

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Last week’s economic report schedule included notable reports with the CPI & Core CPI in addition to PPI and Core PPI. Many markets are keeping a close eye on the inflation numbers for the U.S. as well as many other parts of the world to help guide their policies.

Other notable reports were MBA Mortgage Applications Index and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report (Prelim.)

Consumer Price Index
With current inflation data, the Federal Reserve has hinted that they are close to ending their rate-hiking cycle for the future. This reflects a greater optimism for a soft landing in many markets.

  • Cost of goods rose 0.9% in September after a 2% gain in the prior month.
  • The cost of services rose 0.3% last month, up slightly from 0.2% in August.
  • Energy prices rose 3.3% in September, down from a 10.3% gain in the previous month.
  • Wholesale food prices have moved up 0.9% after a 0.5% fall in the previous month

Product Price Index
Over the last year, the mainline PPI is up 2.2% in September, up from 2% in the prior month. This is the highest rate since April.

  • Core PPI has had an increase of 0.3% over the previous month.
  • PPI has had an increase of 0.5% over the previous month.

Key point: This is the second month in a row that goods prices have outpaced service costs.

Mortgage Applications Increased for the Month of October
MBA Mortgage Applications Increase, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.6% percent compared to the previous month which had seen a -6.0% reduction.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report
The University of Michigan reported that the preliminary index for Consumer Sentiment in October came in at 63, missing the consensus estimate of 67.4. The final reading of the index for September was 68.1. Expectations for the one-year inflation rate rose to 3.8% in October from 3.2% in September, marking its highest reading since May.

What’s Ahead
This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on inflation, U.S. retail sales, and the preliminary monthly report on consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and initial jobless claims will also be released.

The LTV Ratio How Loan to Value Works and Why You Need to Understand This Ratio

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Are you in the market for a new home? If you plan on using mortgage financing to buy your next home you’ve likely heard the phrase “loan-to-value” or the acronym “LTV” before. Let’s take a quick look at the loan-to-value ratio including why it’s important, how to calculate it, and how it can affect your mortgage.

What is the Loan-to-Value or LTV Ratio?
In short, the LTV ratio is a number that compares how much money you owe against your home with its resale value in the marketplace. A low LTV ratio indicates that you have far more equity in your home than you owe in mortgage payments; conversely, a high LTV ratio indicates that you owe almost as much as your home is worth.

Why is the LTV Ratio Important?
Your LTV ratio is important for a number of reasons. First, your mortgage lender will use this figure as part of their risk calculation when they assess your financial suitability for your mortgage. If you’re only putting 5 percent of the purchase price in as a down payment you’ll have an LTV ratio of 95 percent, which is a more risky loan than one with an LTV ratio of 30 percent and thus will almost certainly come with a higher interest rate.

While the LTV ratio might seem simple, this number can affect your mortgage in a variety of ways. Contact your local mortgage advisor today to learn more about the LTV ratio and to have your questions answered by an experienced professional.

What Makes Up A PITI Mortgage Payment?

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Many mortgage payments are made up of four parts, called PITI. PITI is an acronym that stands for principal, interest, tax, and insurance. It’s important to understand PITI because it is the real number you need to use in order to find out how much mortgage you can afford to pay each month.

One of the biggest mistakes first-time homebuyers make is using only the principal plus interest figure to calculate how much they’ll be paying every month for their mortgage. Then, when the lender comes back and denies them, the prospective buyer is confused. Knowing and understanding PITI will put you back in the driver’s seat with your home-buying goal.

Principal
The principal part of your mortgage payment represents the amount of money that you borrow over the terms of the loan. For instance, if you borrow $100,000 and you have 20 years to pay it back, the principal that you’ll pay each month equals $100,000 divided by 20.

Interest
The interest portion of your mortgage payment is the percentage rate that your lender is charging you to borrow from them. Another way of looking at the interest is to think of it as the cost of borrowing money. Interest will be spread out over the length of the loan, just like the principal payment.

Tax
The tax portion of your monthly mortgage payment pays for real estate and/or property taxes. Real estate taxes are assessed by the local government where the properties are located. The tax rate is determined by the government and is not influenced by your personal credit score.

Insurance
The insurance part of your monthly mortgage payment pays for homeowner’s insurance and/or private mortgage insurance. If you put less than 20% down on your home purchase, you’re required to have private mortgage insurance. This amount can add considerably to your monthly mortgage payment, so it’s worth it to try to hit that 20% threshold.

Otherwise, you have to wait until your loan-to-value ratio is 80/20. After that, you can request to drop the private mortgage insurance, but the homeowner’s insurance will still be part of your monthly payment.

Now that you understand what makes up a PITI mortgage payment, you’ll be better prepared to plan for your monthly budget that includes a mortgage payment.

Whether you are in the market for a new home or interested in refinancing your current property, be sure to contact your trusted home mortgage professional to learn about your current financing options.

Worried about Your FICO Score? 4 Easy Strategies to Fix It Up

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If you’re worried about your bad credit, you’ll want to do everything in your power to improve your rating as quickly as possible – especially if you have a major purchase coming up. Improving your credit rating can give you access to better interest rates on mortgages or even help you get that job you’re after.

IMPORTANT! If you are currently involved in a home loan transaction, speak with your trusted mortgage lender before taking any action regarding your credit!

So how can you boost your FICO score quickly and easily? Here’s what you need to know.

Get Your Credit Report And Dispute Any Errors
Credit reporting agencies don’t always keep 100% perfect records, and there’s a good chance that your credit report contains at least one error. One recent FTC study found that 25% of consumers have an error on their credit report and that in 5% of cases, the errors were actually severe enough to impact the loan terms that borrowers were able to negotiate.

You can get your annual credit report from all three credit reporting agencies for free. Carefully read over it. If you see any errors – if your name is misspelled, if they have the wrong address on file, or if there are late or unpaid charges that you didn’t make – you can dispute the items in question.

Still Overdue? Negotiate Payment Terms With Your Creditors
If you’re overdue on a payment, it will weigh heavily on your credit score. As your payment history makes up a full 35% of your FICO score, this is one area where you’ll want to invest a great deal of time and effort.

Contact any creditors you owe money to and ask if you can negotiate your bill. The ideal outcome for you is to have the creditor report your debt as paid in full, so see if you can secure that promise in writing in exchange for an accelerated payment schedule.

Try Maintaining A Lower Utilization Ratio
Your utilization ratio refers to the amount of credit you use at any given time. If this number goes beyond 30 percent, you’ll start to see your credit score drop. Ideally, you should aim for a utilization ratio below 10 percent – this will prove to your lender that you can responsibly pay for the credit you use.

Have Recurring Bills? Automate Your Payments
Automating your monthly payments can be a great way to boost your credit score. Whether it’s your mortgage, your credit card, or your student loan, a pre-authorized monthly payment will ensure that everything gets paid on time and give you a great credit history.

Your FICO score is a number that will determine your eligibility for mortgages and other loans. These are general tips to help with your credit score and improve the overall reporting of your credit.

Call your local mortgage professional to learn about what kind of a mortgage your credit score can afford you.

Why You Should Compare Different Mortgages

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Comparing mortgages is a crucial step in the process of buying a home or refinancing an existing mortgage. Here are some reasons why:

Save Money: Comparing mortgages can help you save money by finding the best interest rates and terms available. A lower interest rate can mean thousands of dollars in savings over the life of a mortgage.

Avoid Pitfalls: By comparing mortgages, you can avoid pitfalls such as hidden fees, penalties, or other unfavorable terms that can cost you money and cause financial stress.

Negotiate Better Terms: If you have a good understanding of what’s available in the mortgage market, you can negotiate better terms with lenders.

Peace of Mind: Comparing mortgages can give you peace of mind that you are making the best financial decision for your situation.

Each person’s financial situation is unique, so finding the right mortgage that fits your individual needs is important. Comparing mortgages can help you find the right type of mortgage, such as a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate mortgage, that suits your budget and financial goals. It can be a complex process, but here are some general steps you can take to help guide you in your search.

Determine your budget: The first step is to determine how much you can afford to borrow. Consider your monthly income, expenses, and savings to figure out how much you can comfortably afford to pay each month toward your mortgage.

Shop around: Look at different mortgage options from different lenders to compare interest rates, fees, and terms. Don’t just go with the first offer you receive, as there may be better options available.

Consider the type of mortgage: There are different types of mortgages available, such as fixed-rate mortgages and adjustable-rate mortgages. Each type has its own advantages and disadvantages, so research and consider which option would work best for your needs.

Think about the length of the loan: Mortgages typically come in 15- or 30-year terms, but other options may be available. Longer terms mean lower monthly payments, but more interest paid over time. Shorter terms mean higher monthly payments, but less interest paid overall.

Check your credit score: Your credit score can affect the interest rate you qualify for, so make sure it’s in good shape before applying for a mortgage.

Get pre-approved: Getting pre-approved for a mortgage can give you a better idea of what you can afford, and it can also help you be taken more seriously by sellers when making an offer on a home.

Remember, taking the time to research and compare your options can help you find the right mortgage for your needs and budget and is an essential step in the home-buying process, and it can help you save money, find the right mortgage, avoid pitfalls, negotiate better terms, and have peace of mind. A mortgage broker can help you find and compare mortgage options from different lenders, which can save you time and potentially help you find a better deal.

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